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Red54
241539.8
253423.4
62315.6
Blue6
14463.3
6149.8
28497.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7029020406080100120140160546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.80.7
35.234.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.0
614
#56
9.82.4
11.79.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2534
#10
23.40.8
14.113.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.4
2849
#57
7.02.4
14.111.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
623
#15
15.60.8
14.413.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.3
1446
#58
3.32.4
9.67.2
Auto
Teleop
End