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Red6
191515.2
29129.5
7095.8
Blue31
112313.2
296110.5
141824.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2853020406080100631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1915
#53
15.21.3
16.114.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.2
1418
#45
24.40.9
25.324.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2912
#43
9.52.2
10.58.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
1123
#18
13.21.5
13.411.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
709
#55
5.81.3
5.54.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
2961
#12
10.51.5
10.59.0
Auto
Teleop
End