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Red58
24217.3
29007.6
264237.7
Blue3
138916.7
413710.6
18495.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions552204080100120583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2642
#14
37.70.4
32.633.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.0
1389
#40
16.72.0
12.310.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2900
#51
7.60.7
8.18.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
4137
#31
10.62.0
5.53.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2421
#42
7.30.7
8.89.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
1849
#33
5.52.0
9.27.2
Auto
Teleop
End