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Red40
191515.2
138916.7
296416.5
Blue82
61240.0
253423.4
312315.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32770501001504082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1389
#40
16.70.0
10.910.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.3
612
#3
40.00.6
36.837.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2964
#39
16.50.0
14.714.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
2534
#10
23.41.0
18.619.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1915
#53
15.20.0
14.014.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3123
#17
15.50.6
14.515.1
Auto
Teleop
End