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Red22
6158.4
296110.5
16617.9
Blue15
11959.8
263038.6
138916.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295702040801001201402215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#27
17.90.7
14.213.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.6
2630
#23
38.62.5
32.029.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2961
#12
10.50.9
9.78.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
1389
#40
16.73.1
11.48.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
615
#52
8.40.9
9.58.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
1195
#20
9.83.1
8.95.8
Auto
Teleop
End