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Red149
41526.4
393236.5
152339.0
Blue103
14128.9
106533.8
10829.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1009120406080120140160180149103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.00.8
37.838.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
1065
#10
33.80.2
33.633.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
36.50.8
35.336.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
108
#6
29.80.2
29.629.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
415
#15
26.40.8
25.126.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
141
#36
28.90.2
28.828.9
Auto
Teleop
End