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Red8
40886.3
45174.7
324220.3
Blue69
28159.7
8626.8
38629.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions236304080100120869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3242
#16
20.31.4
13.712.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.3
386
#3
29.50.7
24.625.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4088
#44
6.31.8
8.26.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.5
86
#2
26.80.7
20.120.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4517
#46
4.71.8
7.65.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
2815
#41
9.70.8
12.112.9
Auto
Teleop
End