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Red85
14128.9
28159.7
238327.0
Blue105
190242.9
41526.4
337614.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5864020408010012014085105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#36
28.91.3
25.326.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.0
1902
#11
42.92.8
36.339.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
27.01.7
23.525.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
415
#15
26.43.0
17.220.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2815
#41
9.71.9
10.212.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
3376
#28
14.73.5
9.913.4
Auto
Teleop
End