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Red89
38629.5
350215.7
190242.9
Blue83
106533.8
168330.0
41526.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83860501001502008983

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1902
#11
42.90.3
43.143.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
1065
#10
33.80.1
32.832.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
386
#3
29.50.3
27.227.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1683
#19
30.00.1
29.028.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3502
#14
15.70.3
13.013.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.7
415
#15
26.40.1
23.423.3
Auto
Teleop
End