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Red10
6656.3
401314.5
1689.7
Blue14
347210.6
422420.7
47063.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392902060801014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4013
#34
14.51.3
14.713.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
4224
#13
20.71.3
13.512.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
168
#20
9.72.2
13.211.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
3472
#24
10.61.3
11.410.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
665
#43
6.31.3
9.07.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
4706
#18
3.21.3
5.33.9
Auto
Teleop
End