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Red30
28159.7
5911.8
418416.8
Blue58
168330.0
347210.6
399224.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3659020801001203058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4184
#26
16.80.8
15.014.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.2
1683
#19
30.00.1
28.929.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
59
#25
11.80.8
12.611.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.4
3992
#21
24.20.2
16.616.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2815
#41
9.70.5
12.311.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
3472
#24
10.60.2
10.010.2
Auto
Teleop
End