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Red131
83221.3
422420.7
399224.2
Blue73
215213.5
190242.9
45174.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45640208010012014013173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3992
#21
24.26.4
16.823.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.8
1902
#11
42.90.6
43.944.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
832
#29
21.34.1
17.521.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
2152
#32
13.50.6
14.915.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4224
#13
20.76.9
13.820.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.0
4517
#46
4.71.0
1.92.9
Auto
Teleop
End