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Red30
215213.5
1689.7
324220.3
Blue112
470721.2
125119.3
74431.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43650208010012030112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3242
#16
20.30.8
21.120.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.9
744
#8
31.22.5
27.229.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2152
#32
13.50.8
14.313.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.7
4707
#27
21.22.5
18.621.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
168
#20
9.71.2
10.99.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.6
1251
#17
19.32.5
15.518.0
Auto
Teleop
End