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Red122
18050.6
190242.9
125119.3
Blue114
393236.5
41526.4
152339.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1149850150200122114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#1
50.60.2
50.350.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.6
39.00.2
38.638.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1902
#11
42.90.2
42.542.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
36.50.2
36.136.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1251
#17
19.30.2
18.919.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
415
#15
26.40.2
26.026.2
Auto
Teleop
End