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Red53
17936.9
459220.0
8626.8
Blue125
83221.3
74431.2
38629.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions877905010015053125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#5
36.90.5
37.436.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
744
#8
31.20.7
30.731.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
86
#2
26.80.5
27.426.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
386
#3
29.50.7
29.129.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4592
#22
20.00.7
20.720.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
832
#29
21.30.7
20.821.5
Auto
Teleop
End