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Red76
187610.3
177228.0
215216.5
Blue46
350216.5
152320.6
362719.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42360102030506070807646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1772
#19
28.02.3
18.520.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
1523
#26
20.60.8
15.516.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2152
#25
16.52.9
10.513.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
3627
#24
19.20.8
13.113.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1876
#30
10.32.9
12.014.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
3502
#40
16.50.8
8.49.1
Auto
Teleop
End