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Red132
106533.4
161210.8
17933.7
Blue53
355711.5
399825.1
74424.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5533020408010012013253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#3
33.76.7
18.525.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
3998
#28
25.11.4
9.110.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
33.46.7
22.329.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
744
#13
24.11.4
19.220.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1612
#42
10.86.7
10.417.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
3557
#38
11.51.4
7.89.2
Auto
Teleop
End