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Red3
25565.3
161210.8
190236.3
Blue21
215216.5
16498.0
238323.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45360206080100120321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1902
#12
36.33.4
19.416.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.8
23.51.4
15.514.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1612
#42
10.83.4
15.311.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
2152
#25
16.51.4
12.411.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2556
#49
5.33.4
8.85.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
1649
#59
8.01.4
9.68.2
Auto
Teleop
End