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Red0
47699.3
44714.4
462218.4
Blue16
190236.3
373212.4
411812.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264206080100120140016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4622
#31
18.411.3
18.47.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.9
1902
#12
36.32.0
19.917.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4769
#43
9.32.1
9.37.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
3732
#61
12.42.0
9.57.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4471
#52
4.41.8
9.07.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
4118
#36
12.02.0
10.58.5
Auto
Teleop
End