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Red25
40247.4
341017.8
316410.2
Blue65
42235.3
470713.9
190236.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31360102040506070802565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3410
#34
17.80.5
14.614.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.5
1902
#12
36.32.5
21.724.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
10.20.5
13.112.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
4707
#18
13.92.5
9.712.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4024
#37
7.40.5
3.83.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
4223
#53
5.32.5
3.86.3
Auto
Teleop
End