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Red74
399825.1
94520.1
419713.3
Blue121
38623.4
401313.2
12540.4
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3359020408010012074121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3998
#28
25.13.1
14.918.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.3
125
#2
40.45.5
32.237.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
945
#21
20.13.1
14.717.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
386
#23
23.45.5
17.623.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4197
#56
13.33.1
7.510.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
4013
#47
13.25.5
5.410.9
Auto
Teleop
End