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Red131
450936.0
83215.3
168326.7
Blue69
348923.9
408033.5
402624.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727820406010012014013169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.01.3
34.235.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
4080
#22
33.50.2
31.731.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1683
#13
26.71.3
24.926.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
4026
#10
24.70.2
22.822.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
832
#55
15.31.3
13.514.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.7
3489
#15
23.90.1
22.622.4
Auto
Teleop
End