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Quarterfinal 3-22013 Peachtree Regional
Red136
126128.2
241535.2
14149.1
Blue142
402624.7
348923.9
408033.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6871406080100120140136142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#5
35.21.6
33.6→35.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.7
4080
#22
33.51.6
29.4→30.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1261
#3
28.21.1
27.0→28.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.5
4026
#10
24.71.6
20.5→22.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1414
#38
9.11.5
7.6→9.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 14.8
3489
#15
23.91.2
20.8→22.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—