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Red47
33188.9
11279.7
146617.1
Blue7
418914.3
446810.8
38155.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3433020406080100477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1466
#25
17.11.1
13.414.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
4189
#52
14.32.2
14.712.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1127
#14
9.71.1
10.011.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
4468
#34
10.83.5
10.87.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3318
#51
8.91.1
10.811.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
3815
#42
5.22.2
9.16.9
Auto
Teleop
End