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Qual 232013 Peachtree Regional
Red2
313916.3
473012.3
450936.0
Blue27
30918.1
41483.3
474916.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26220406080100227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4509
#7
36.02.0
11.2→9.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 19.5
4749
#18
16.50.3
11.2→11.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3139
#16
16.32.0
9.4→7.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.2
3091
#20
8.10.3
7.3→7.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4730
#43
12.32.0
5.1→3.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.1
4148
#29
3.30.3
4.6→4.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—