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Red18
146617.1
358117.2
446810.8
Blue1
32243.9
41958.6
5904.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372006080100120181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3581
#17
17.21.4
13.011.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
4195
#45
8.61.8
4.52.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1466
#25
17.11.4
12.711.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.7
590
#54
4.41.8
8.46.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4468
#34
10.81.4
9.07.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
3224
#58
3.91.8
9.88.0
Auto
Teleop
End