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Red27
418817.5
28116.9
45167.2
Blue22
146617.1
326512.5
332913.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343202060801001201402722

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4188
#19
17.50.6
16.315.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1466
#25
17.10.9
11.310.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
281
#4
16.90.4
12.211.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
3329
#26
13.70.9
10.49.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4516
#30
7.20.6
5.44.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
3265
#23
12.50.9
11.010.1
Auto
Teleop
End