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Red4
46215.7
41483.3
470118.0
Blue3
32243.9
14149.1
45167.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263302040608010043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4701
#24
18.010.4
18.07.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
1414
#38
9.12.5
11.18.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4621
#57
5.71.9
5.77.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
4516
#30
7.24.8
11.97.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4148
#29
3.32.0
8.56.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
3224
#58
3.92.5
12.19.6
Auto
Teleop
End