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Red21
41958.6
168326.7
36357.3
Blue56
326512.5
131118.9
313916.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293301020405060702156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1683
#13
26.70.7
15.214.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
1311
#35
18.92.0
14.015.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4195
#45
8.60.7
5.14.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.7
3139
#16
16.32.0
8.510.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3635
#60
7.30.7
9.28.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
3265
#23
12.52.0
10.112.0
Auto
Teleop
End