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Red25
291811.8
411216.5
46215.7
Blue27
357310.4
30918.1
18776.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4020060801001202527

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4112
#31
16.51.0
16.615.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
3573
#28
10.40.4
10.611.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2918
#50
11.81.0
12.411.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
3091
#20
8.10.4
6.46.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4621
#57
5.71.0
8.17.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
1877
#39
6.50.4
5.76.1
Auto
Teleop
End