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Red48
241535.2
30918.1
14149.1
Blue40
131931.5
418914.3
5904.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4853204060801004840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.20.1
33.533.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
1319
#12
31.50.6
31.430.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1414
#38
9.10.1
7.57.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
4189
#52
14.30.8
15.114.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3091
#20
8.10.1
8.18.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
590
#54
4.40.8
5.34.4
Auto
Teleop
End