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Red117
24566.0
198733.5
132522.3
Blue190
216975.0
263051.5
321121.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11514350100200250300117190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#11
66.00.1
66.466.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.0
75.02.6
74.477.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1987
#57
33.50.1
30.830.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.0
51.52.6
46.048.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1325
#44
22.30.1
22.422.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
3211
#72
21.42.6
18.320.8
Auto
Teleop
End