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Red63
57816.3
348122.4
9519.6
Blue105
345926.5
318924.5
240337.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5581010015020063105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
#66
22.40.2
23.423.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.8
2403
#35
37.21.4
33.735.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
95
#55
19.60.2
18.318.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
3459
#41
26.51.4
21.022.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
578
#83
16.30.2
17.617.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.2
3189
#80
24.51.4
21.923.3
Auto
Teleop
End