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Red145
11159.7
460135.0
457935.1
Blue168
272960.8
394417.7
403955.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114123050100150200250300145168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#25
59.71.5
54.656.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
2729
#15
60.82.3
56.558.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4579
#49
35.12.0
33.635.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.9
4039
#23
55.02.3
51.653.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4601
#31
35.01.6
27.429.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.4
3944
#32
17.72.8
13.716.5
Auto
Teleop
End