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Red162
263051.5
11877.9
4517.7
Blue144
457935.1
364150.2
61061.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144141100120160180200162144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
77.90.9
77.978.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.5
610
#14
61.40.1
57.958.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
51.50.9
48.649.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
3641
#17
50.20.1
48.148.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
45
#71
17.70.9
16.717.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.4
4579
#49
35.10.1
35.235.3
Auto
Teleop
End