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Red103
204625.4
177230.9
121854.7
Blue212
111494.4
460135.0
198733.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10316550150200250103212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#53
54.70.5
55.254.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 39.7
94.42.8
92.595.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1772
#70
30.90.5
31.430.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
4601
#31
35.02.8
32.235.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2046
#76
25.40.5
25.925.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
1987
#57
33.52.8
30.733.5
Auto
Teleop
End