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Red175
345926.5
297825.8
142554.1
Blue105
191228.7
140531.5
33718.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9869050150200175105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.14.1
49.553.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.6
1405
#86
31.51.6
29.931.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3459
#41
26.54.1
22.526.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
1912
#94
28.71.6
27.228.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2978
#62
25.84.1
21.725.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
337
#56
18.31.6
16.818.3
Auto
Teleop
End