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Red100
171022.2
147760.6
394417.7
Blue86
217537.7
84231.4
290743.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9112405015020025010086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#27
60.60.2
57.057.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.1
2907
#16
43.41.7
45.143.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1710
#40
22.20.2
22.022.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.5
2175
#64
37.71.7
40.939.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3944
#32
17.70.2
17.517.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.7
842
#39
31.41.7
33.031.4
Auto
Teleop
End