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Red80
348122.4
448126.2
198733.5
Blue81
33718.3
406941.1
452219.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516901001508081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#57
33.51.3
28.529.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
4069
#12
41.10.7
33.033.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4481
#45
26.21.7
10.111.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
4522
#78
19.40.9
22.423.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3481
#66
22.41.3
15.616.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
337
#56
18.30.7
10.911.7
Auto
Teleop
End