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Red114
124161.4
225928.8
464120.8
Blue177
272960.8
42236.0
263051.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88136050100150200250114177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.40.9
53.154.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2729
#15
60.82.4
58.961.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2259
#88
28.80.9
22.823.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.7
51.52.4
40.242.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4641
#59
20.81.0
19.820.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.1
422
#20
36.02.4
29.031.4
Auto
Teleop
End