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Red110
445227.4
313239.2
394417.7
Blue118
22253.6
132522.3
74436.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77100050150200110118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3132
#85
39.21.5
35.036.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.4
222
#30
53.61.1
49.150.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4452
#96
27.41.5
29.030.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.2
744
#90
36.61.1
30.331.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3944
#32
17.71.6
16.518.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
1325
#44
22.31.1
17.018.1
Auto
Teleop
End