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Red142
403955.0
248145.8
406941.1
Blue116
121854.7
35836.4
454122.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14490050200250142116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
#23
55.00.3
53.954.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1218
#53
54.70.9
53.053.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2481
#67
45.80.3
48.148.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.4
358
#73
36.40.9
28.028.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4069
#12
41.10.3
33.734.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.0
4541
#93
22.11.2
17.318.5
Auto
Teleop
End