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Red50
198733.5
142920.5
313239.2
Blue103
446221.4
225928.8
12559.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9190608010012014050103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3132
#85
39.22.1
36.534.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.7
125
#47
59.90.6
53.153.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1987
#57
33.52.1
28.826.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
2259
#88
28.80.6
23.724.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1429
#100
20.52.1
26.023.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
4462
#54
21.40.6
13.514.1
Auto
Teleop
End