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Red125
406941.1
401120.0
264856.0
Blue130
345926.5
364150.2
352840.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9710050150200125130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#50
56.01.4
49.450.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
3641
#17
50.21.5
43.645.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4069
#12
41.11.4
34.035.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3528
#24
40.61.5
35.637.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4011
#82
20.01.4
14.215.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
3459
#41
26.51.5
20.522.0
Auto
Teleop
End