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Red133
22253.6
348122.4
84231.4
Blue77
301830.7
46710.5
263051.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1087205015020013377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#30
53.61.5
50.251.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
51.50.1
42.642.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
842
#39
31.41.5
33.535.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
3018
#77
30.70.1
27.727.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3481
#66
22.41.5
19.020.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
467
#95
10.50.1
7.67.6
Auto
Teleop
End