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Red105
297825.8
248145.8
290743.4
Blue153
200056.6
162940.1
447219.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106116050150200105153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#67
45.80.1
48.448.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.8
2000
#29
56.61.9
57.359.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2907
#16
43.40.1
39.239.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
1629
#61
40.11.9
40.742.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2978
#62
25.80.1
19.819.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
4472
#52
19.72.3
16.618.9
Auto
Teleop
End