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Red110
401120.0
248559.5
38415.6
Blue139
394135.6
251255.8
33718.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8199050150200250110139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2485
#69
59.51.3
53.454.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
2512
#10
55.82.1
52.054.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4011
#82
20.01.3
15.516.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.6
3941
#36
35.62.1
31.633.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
384
#89
15.61.4
15.216.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
337
#56
18.32.1
12.915.0
Auto
Teleop
End