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Red122
61061.4
121854.7
219933.0
Blue140
22253.6
137820.4
290743.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14910150200250122140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#14
61.41.0
56.855.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
222
#30
53.61.6
51.753.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1218
#53
54.71.0
54.553.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
2907
#16
43.41.6
39.140.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2199
#33
33.01.0
30.129.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.6
1378
#51
20.41.6
17.519.1
Auto
Teleop
End