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Red68
19231.7
479719.2
74436.6
Blue104
394135.6
84231.4
42236.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8685608010012068104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
744
#90
36.60.8
31.230.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
422
#20
36.00.9
28.129.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
192
#79
31.70.8
35.634.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
3941
#36
35.60.9
26.026.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4797
#98
19.21.3
18.216.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.2
842
#39
31.41.0
32.033.0
Auto
Teleop
End