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Red154
173251.9
198733.5
290743.4
Blue104
19231.7
11159.7
445227.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11312450100150200250154104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#26
51.92.0
47.149.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.8
111
#25
59.70.9
57.456.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2907
#16
43.42.0
40.742.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.7
192
#79
31.70.9
34.533.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1987
#57
33.52.0
26.828.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
4452
#96
27.40.9
30.029.1
Auto
Teleop
End